The Indian stock market benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are likely to open on a weaker note on Monday, tracking subdued global cues as escalating tensions between the US and Iran, coupled with Brent crude oil climbing above $90 a barrel, dampened risk appetite.
Asian equities traded lower in early deals, while Wall Street ended last week on a weak note as selling pressure in semiconductor stocks weighed on investor sentiment.
On Friday, however, domestic equities ended sharply higher, supported by strong buying in heavyweight stocks ahead of the ongoing June-quarter earnings season. The BSE Sensex surged 964.58 points (1.25%) to close at 78,151.45, while the Nifty 50 rallied 261.55 points (1.09%) to settle at 24,334.30.
US-Iran conflict intensifies
Geopolitical tensions remained elevated after the United States launched another wave of airstrikes on Iran on Monday following the reported death of another American service member. Iran, in response, fired missiles towards Jordan, raising concerns that the conflict could spill over further across the region, according to PTI. Bahrain also activated air raid sirens as the security situation deteriorated.
Crude oil extends rally
Oil prices continued their sharp advance amid fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East. Brent crude futures climbed 2.7% to $90.49 per barrel, after soaring nearly 16% last week, while WTI crude rose 2.3% to $84.42 per barrel.
Gold eases as Fed officials strike hawkish tone
Gold prices edged lower as persistent inflation concerns and hawkish comments from several US Federal Reserve policymakers strengthened expectations that interest rates could remain elevated. Spot gold slipped 0.4% to $4,000.55 per ounce, while US gold futures for August delivery fell 0.3% to $4,005.90. Spot silver bucked the trend, rising 0.9% to $56.42 per ounce.
Focus shifts to bank earnings
Investors will also digest a slew of June-quarter (Q1 FY27) earnings announced over the weekend by major lenders, including HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Yes Bank, Punjab National Bank (PNB), IDBI Bank, RBL Bank, and Punjab & Sind Bank, with management commentary expected to set the tone for the banking sector in the sessions ahead.
What Gift Nifty live chart signals?
The Gift Nifty Live Chart shows a weak start for the Indian stock market today. By 7:31 AM, the Gift Nifty was trading around the 24,292.5level, a discount of 29.2 points from the Nifty futures’ previous close of 24,321.70.
Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said, Indian equity markets are expected to open on a largely flat note, with GIFT Nifty trading around 24,345, marginally above Friday’s Nifty close of 24,334, indicating a subdued start to the session. Investor sentiment is likely to remain cautious as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to cloud the global risk environment, with market participants closely assessing the risk of a broader regional conflict and its potential impact on global energy supplies. The heightened uncertainty has prompted a more defensive stance across financial markets, limiting investors’ willingness to take aggressive directional bets.
Adding to the cautious mood, crude oil prices have advanced to the $83–84 per barrel range as concerns over prolonged supply disruptions in the Middle East persist.
Stock market today
Speaking on the outlook for the Nifty 50 today, Ajit Mishra, Senior Vice President, Research at Religare Broking, said Nifty 50 has rebounded sharply from its key support zone and has breached the 24,300 resistance, indicating renewed buying interest at lower levels. A sustained move above the 24,400 zone, which
coincides with 200-day EMA, could pave the way for an extension towards the 24,600 mark and beyond. On the downside, the 24,000 mark is expected to provide near-term support, followed by the 23,800 zone.
On the outlook for the Bank Nifty today, Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, believes Bank Nifty continues to trade with a positive bias, supported by sustained buying interest and an improving technical structure. From a technical perspective, the 58,600–58,700 zone remains the immediate resistance. A sustained breakout above this band could reinforce bullish momentum and pave the way for an advance towards the 59,000 psychological mark.
On the downside, the 58,000 psychological level is expected to provide immediate support. Holding above this level will be crucial to preserving the prevailing positive structure, while a decisive break below 58,000 could trigger profit-booking and drag the index towards the 57,600–57,500 support zone. Overall, the near-term technical outlook remains positive, as long as it sustains above the 58,000 mark. However, a sustained move above the 58,600–58,700 resistance zone will be required to confirm the next leg of the uptrend and extend gains towards the 59,000 level.
Stocks to buy today
Regarding stocks to buy today, market experts — Sumeet Bagadia of Choice Broking, Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager — Technical Research at Anand Rathi, and Shiju Koothupalakkal, Senior Manager — Technical Research at Prabhudas Lilladher, recommended these eight buy-or-sell stocks for intraday trading: Anant Raj Ltd, Bhansali Engineering Polymers Ltd, Jindal Steel Ltd, Steel Authority of India Ltd (SAIL), Infosys Ltd, Time Technoplast Ltd, SBI Cards and Payment Services Ltd, and Grasim Industries Ltd.
Sumeet Bagadia’s stock recommendations today
Buy Anant Raj in cash at ₹592; SL at ₹560; TGT at ₹655
Buy Bhansali Engineering Polymers in cash at ₹113; SL at ₹107; TGT at ₹125
Ganesh Dongre’s buy or sell stocks
Buy Jindal Steel at ₹1,028; sl at ₹1,015; tgt at ₹1,055
Buy SAIL at ₹163; SL at ₹156; TGT at ₹170
Buy Infosys at ₹1,095; sl at ₹1,075; tgt at ₹1,140
Shiju Koothupalakkal’s intraday stocks for today
Buy Time Technoplast cmp: ₹204 Target: ₹217 Stop loss: ₹199
Buy SBI Cards and Payment Services cmp: ₹654.70 Target: ₹690 Stop loss: ₹640
Buy Grasim Industries cmp: ₹3,109 Target: ₹3,250 Stop loss: ₹3,055
Disclaimer: This story is for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, not Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
