“We are pencilling in an average $85/bbl for Brent this fiscal year on hopes of a peace deal in West Asia by mid-May,” said Sanjeev Prasad, co-head, Kotak Institutional Equities (KIE). “That will contain the CAD at 2% (of GDP), which is the base or bad case. But, if oil averages $100 or more on a prolonged impasse or escalation, then we get an ugly scene with CAD at 2.6% , and a more adverse hit on macros.”
