Stocks to buy for the short term: Market benchmark Nifty 50 resumed its upward March last week, rising by 0.50% on a weekly basis for the week ended 17 July, after a mild 0.30% decline in the previous week.
On a monthly scale, the Nifty 50 is up 2% so far in July after a 1.4% rise in June. Year-to-date, however, the index is still 7% down.
The Indian stock market remained volatile during the week of July 13–17 due to tensions in the Middle East, fluctuating crude oil prices, foreign investors selling shares, and mixed global cues.
However, despite these uncertainties, the Nifty stayed within a narrow range of 24,000 to 24,300 for most of the week after lower-than-expected US inflation data increased hopes of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve.
Jigar S. Patel, Senior Manager of Equity Technical Research at Anand Rathi Share and Stock Brokers, highlighted that the overall trend remains positive, but the market has not yet confirmed a fresh rally.
“Investors can think of 24,000 as a strong floor, where buyers have repeatedly stepped in to prevent further declines. On the other hand, the 24,300–24,400 zone has acted like a strong ceiling, with sellers becoming active whenever the index approaches this area,” said Patel.
“A strong closing above 24,400 is still required to confirm a breakout. If the Nifty manages to sustain above this level, it could move towards 24,600 and beyond. However, if it fails to cross this hurdle, the market may continue to trade sideways,” Patel said.
On the downside, as per Patel, 24,000 remains the first support, followed by the stronger support zone of 23,800–23,600.
“As long as these support levels hold, the broader market trend remains positive, and investors should continue to follow a ‘buy on dips’ strategy, meaning they should gradually accumulate quality stocks during temporary declines instead of chasing prices after sharp rallies,” said Patel.
For Bank Nifty, Patel said a decisive close above 59,000 could trigger a fresh rally, while a fall below 57,000 may lead to a short-term correction.
“Until either of these levels is broken, traders should expect range-bound movement, while long-term investors can continue to maintain a positive outlook on the market,” said Patel.
Stock picks for the short term
Jigar Patel recommends buying the following three stocks for the next 1-2 weeks:
Reliance Industries | Previous close: ₹1,327.20 | Buying range: ₹1,330 to ₹1,315 | Target prices: ₹1,410 and ₹1,420 | Stop loss: ₹1,265
As per Patel, the Reliance share price has formed a strong base in the ₹1,280 and ₹1,320 zone, which coincides with a previously established demand area, indicating renewed buying interest at lower levels.
The technical setup has turned constructive, with bullish divergence visible on both the MACD and its histogram, suggesting that downside momentum is fading and a potential trend reversal could be underway.
Adding further strength to the bullish outlook, Delta Volume has also registered a bullish divergence, reflecting accumulation by market participants despite recent price weakness.
“The confluence of price action, momentum indicators, and volume behaviour points towards an improving risk-reward setup. As long as the stock sustains above the ₹1,280 support level, the probability of an upward move remains favourable,” said Patel.
Avenue Supermarts (DMart) | Previous close: ₹3,951.90 | Buying range: ₹3,960 to ₹3,930 | Target price: ₹4,150 | Stop loss: ₹3,850
As per Patel, DMart has completed a five-wave Elliott Wave corrective structure on the hourly chart and is now showing signs of forming a strong base near the ₹3,900 demand zone.
The recent price action indicates that buyers are gradually regaining control, with the stock holding firmly above this key support area.
Adding to the positive outlook, the MACD histogram, Delta Volume, and RSI are all displaying bullish divergence, suggesting that downside momentum is weakening while buying interest is improving.
“These technical signals increase the probability of a trend reversal. Following the completion of the five-wave decline, we expect an ABC corrective pullback,” said Patel.
SBI Cards and Payment Services | Previous close: ₹654.70 | Buying range: ₹655 to ₹645 | Target price: ₹710 | Stop loss: ₹620
Patel pointed out that SBI Cards is showing encouraging signs of a trend reversal after breaking above its Ichimoku Cloud, indicating improving bullish momentum.
The stock has also moved above its recent consolidation zone, suggesting fresh buying interest.
Supporting this positive view, the MACD has generated a bullish crossover above the zero line, while the MACD histogram continues to expand in positive territory, reflecting strengthening momentum.
“The cumulative volume delta (CVD) has turned sharply positive, indicating aggressive buying by market participants. Additionally, the RSI has climbed above 60, confirming improving price strength,” said Patel.
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Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. The views and recommendations expressed are those of the expert, not Mint. We advise investors to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions, as market conditions can change rapidly and circumstances may vary.
